Model Portfolio of ETF Index Funds

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Model Portfolio I - US Market & International ETFs

Portfolio Overview: My model portfolios are small. Therefore it is funded it with no more then 2 ETFs, which I will be holding from a few days to several weeks depending on my market timer signal. Larger Portfolios may hold up to 3 different ETFs max. Exchange Traded Funds are baskets of many stocks, as such, no need to seek further diversification.

Funding the Portfolio: and Portfolio Risk Management click for details

Contra ETFs: when buying inverse ETFs, I ignore the volatility index, usually is above 25 anyway. The maximum inverse (ULTRA) ETF investment for each portfolio is does not exceeds 50% of the total allocation.

Note: this is not a paper trade portfolio.

2-3-12	~ added non-leveraged ETF long position - confirmed uptrend
1-30-12	~ all positions stopped out - confirmed down-trend - see timing model
1-25-12	~ added non-leveraged ETF (MDY) - expecting some pullback soon
1-24-12	~ all my leveraged positions stopped out with a small loss
1-20-12	~ added Ultra ETF position - updated stop loss orders
1-17-12	~ inverse (SH) stopped out - sitting on the sideline waiting for market trend
1-13-12	~ sold all leveraged positions with a profit - update stop loss orders
1-12-12	~ taking profit - placed sell limit order for (1/2) leveraged position
1-10-12	~ S&P trading near resistance, added some protection , (SH) inverse ETFs
1-6-12	~ replaced XLU with VTI - 25% in cash - updated stop loss
1-3-12	~ XLU stop out with small gain - heavy sell off

Real-time from BATS Exchange

Year-to-Date Performance charts
Buy-Hold-Sell Signals explained
Trading Range explained

buy and sell signals - support and resistance

Market Timing Model ~ Total Stock Market ETF (VTI) 3300+ Stock

3-Jan -confirmed up-trend - MACD|EMA crossover

2-Jan -potential up-trend -RSI|SMA crossover -update Stop Loss

30-Jan - confirmed down-trend -MACD|EMA crossover -verify Stop Loss

26-Jan -potential down-trend -RSI|SMA crossover -updated Stop Loss

24-Jan -updated Stop Loss -Red Candlestick with higher closing value

20-Jan -updated Stop Loss -risk management

19-Jan -up-trend continued -RSI and MACD crossover to the upside

18-Jan -taking profits (Ultra Pos.) -RSI @+70 & Fibonacci/line crossover

13-Jan -potential down-trend -RSI|SMA crossover -updated Stop Loss

6-Jan -updated Stop Loss -Red Candlestick with higher closing value

3-Jan -up-trend continued -RSI and MACD crossover to the upside

30-Dec -potential down-trend -RSI|SMA crossover -updated Stop Loss

22-Dec -confirmed up-trend -MACD|EMA crossover

21-Dec -updated Stop Loss -Red Candlestick with higher closing value

20-Dec -potential up-trend -RSI|SMA crossover -update Stop Loss

13-Dec - confirmed down-trend -MACD|EMA crossover -verify Stop Loss

8-Dec -potential down-trend -RSI|SMA crossover

5-Dec -taking profits (Ultra Pos.) -RSI @+70 & Fibonacci/line crossover

2-Dec -updated Stop Loss -Red Candlestick with higher closing value

28-Nov -potential up-trend -RSI|SMA crossover -update Stop Loss

17-Nov -down-trend -trading inverse ETFs -updated Stop Loss daily

14-Nov -updated Stop Loss -Red Candlestick with higher closing value

9-Nov -potential down-trend -RSI|SMA crossover -updated Stop Loss

8-Nov -potential up-trend -RSI|SMA crossover -update Stop Loss

4-Nov -updated Stop Loss -Red Candlestick with higher closing value

2-Nov -confirmed down-trend -MACD|EMA crossover -verify Stop Loss

NOTE: the Market Timing Model is updated at the end of the trading day.

My Exchange Traded Funds Watch List

"XLU" - SPDRs Utility Sector	Yield: 3.91%
"XLP" - SPDRs Staples Sector	Yield: 2.75%
"DVY" - iShares Dow Jones Select Dividend	Yield: 3.54%
"DIA" - SPDRs DOW-30 Index	Yield: 2.60%
"SPY" - SPDRs S&P 500 Index	Yield: 1.99%
"QQQ" - PowerShares Nasdaq 100 Index	Yield: 0.76%
"MDY" - SPDRs Mid-Cap Trust Series	Yield: 1.02%
"IWM" - SPDRs iShares Russell 2000	Yield: 1.39%
"DDM" - ProShares Ultra DOW-30	Yield: 0.45%
"SSO" - ProShares Ultra S&P 500 Index	Yield: 0.67%
"QLD" - ProShares Ultra Nasdaq-100
"SH" - SPDRs Inverse - S&P 500 Index