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Beating the S&P500 index is not easy. As a matter of fact, most funds managers do not
accomplish this objective. Though, don't feel bad, you're not alone.
SPDR S&P500 (SPY) is a solid core equity holding
because of its broad diversification across sectors and individual
stocks, relatively low volatility, and low expense ratio. The S&P500
index is frequently used as a proxy for the full U.S. market and as an
indicator of the economic health of the nation.
A simple strategy to beat the index
- just
buy the index and hold on through ups and downs. Without a plan or
strategy, it's tough on your stomach. This approach could potentially
lead to a large loss and you would be inclined to sell with a loss and
have a long road to recovery if you decided to get back into the game.
Try beating the S&P500 Index Strategy?
Here is my idea and a few rules I apply:
Rule #1 - A portfolio must be fully funded at all times - a portfolio funded 80% will never
beat the SP500 index. The 2 exceptions would be the market is
trading in a bear market (a 20% decline is commonly viewed as a bear
market) and partially funded when the market is in a correction (a 15%
decline is commonly viewed as a correction). Rule #2 -
The portfolio should be diversified. I like to hold 1-4 Exchange
Traded Funds (ETFs) depending on the value of my portfolio. Having more than one type of index funds reduces
the risk of failing to beat the index because other indexes have
historically performed better in the past. Note: the dividends should
cover the cost of the trading commission.
PORTFOLIO #1 - <$10k
~ Total Stock Market allocation
(VTI) -
Vanguard Total Stock Market (Holdings:
3375 Stocks, Yield 1.99%) - 100% allocation
***ETF info as of April 2010
Note: as of Dec. 31, 2010 YTD Performance was +15.2%
and S&P500 Performance was 12.8% |
PORTFOLIO #2 -
>$10k ~ equal allocation - 2-4 ETFs
(SPY) - S&P
500 Index (500 Stocks, Yield 1.8%)
(QQQQ) - Nasdaq 100 Index (100 Stocks,
Yield 0.4%)
(MDY) - S&P Mid Cap Index (400 Stocks,
Yield 1.1%)
(VWO) - Emerging Markets Idx
(733 Stocks, Yield 1.2%)
***ETF info as of April 2010
Note: as of Dec. 31, 2010 YTD Performance (4 ETFs) was +18.5%
and S&P500 Performance was 12.8%
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Rule #3 -
Swing trades often contribute to beating the market when buying on a dip, that is lower than the selling price (e.g. you
sell at $90 buy back at $88 or less). You can assure a buy back by
initiating a limit buy order. However, the opposite holds true when
selling to raise cash (taking profits) and afterwards buying it back
at a higher price. I try to avoid swing trades for my small
portfolios.
Rule #4 - Keep track and log the
highest closing price of each holding, because not every position
trades the same. This will assure you're monitoring the
stock market movement, and not depend on the business news commentary.
Rule #5 -
When to start funding your portfolio. Almost anytime is a good time,
the exception would be when the market is in correction or bear market
territory. Negative trending is determined from the highest close
after trending more than 5% to the downside and not year-to-date
performance. Rule #6
- Avoid buying inverse ETFs (@SH -
short position). Only buy inverse ETFs when the market is clearly
trending south to reduce losses, but never try to make a profit.
15% decline is commonly
viewed as a correction
20% decline is commonly viewed as a bear market
ETF last Correction/Bear
Market Decline
highest and lowest trading price - April 2010 through July 2, 2010

U.S. Stock Market last
Correction/Bear Market Decline
highest and lowest trading price - April 2010 through July 2, 2010

***July 2, 2010 was the lowest
trading day for all indexes |