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ETF Market Sector Funds Allocation
4-week YTD Performance Trend

Overview: this portfolio has been developed to provide an alternative to my original model of an all index fund allocation. Here I focus on a very diversified allocation using only sector ETFs. To achieve optimal diversification, I have chosen for my model portfolio the best trending 3 to 4 out of 12 sectors ETS.  While 3 sector ETFs are the minimum for smaller portfolios, the maximum number for larger ETFs should not exceed 4 sector diversified fund ETFs.

Allocation: a portfolio may be funded with 5-6 equally allocated positions (no more than 35% of your portfolio should be invested in 1 sector). I like to buy in increments to see how the market is behaving. The objective is to hold positions as investment as opposed to swing or day trading.  All sector positions should be rebalanced once or twice a year because, sectors with exceptional performance seldom continue in the same pace.

Sector Rotation: every 3-6 weeks I compare the performance of each sector ETFs (see chart below). The least performing sectors are swapped out and replaced with a better performing sector. 

Sector Diversified Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs)
4-Week Price Performance Trend
year to date and 2-6 week period ETF sector performance
more... Active Sector Savvy ETF Portfolio --- Trend analysis explained

Sep. 3, 2010 ~ the week ended with some changes on the up side. As of this date, Real Estate (IYR), Industrial (XLI), and Discretionary (XLY) are the performance leaders Year-to-date. Gold Trust (GLD) continues it's up-trend.
(XLY) Discretionary - auto, appliances, retail, leisure, homebuilding, media (81 Stocks, Yield 1.2%)
(XLP) Staples - food & drug retailing, tobacco, household products (41 Stocks, Yield 2.6%)
(XLE) Energy - energy equipment, oil & gas exploration, refining, storage (40 Stocks, Yield 1.7%)
(XLF) Financials
- banks, financial services, insurance (79 Stocks, Yield 1.2%)
(XLV) Healthcare
- managed care, medical products, drugs, biotech (51 Stocks, Yield 1.7%)
(XLI) Industrial - capital goods, building, defense, aerospace, transportation (59 Stocks, Yield 1.8%)
(XLB) Materials - metal, mining, forest & paper products, chemicals (31 Stocks, Yield 1.5%)
(IYR) Real Estate - real estate investment trust , non-REIT (75 Stocks, Yield 3.5%)
(IYW) Technology - hardware, software, telecom equipment, consulting (168 Stocks, Yield 0.4%)
(IYZ) Communications - telecommunications, fixed Line, mobile (31 Stocks, Yield 3.5%)
(XLU) Utilities - electric, gas, water (35 Stocks, Yield 4.1%)
(GLD) Gold Trust - physical gold bullion  
*** Yields & Holdings as of April 2010

 

Re-balancing Portfolio: the portfolio may be re-balanced every 6-12 month. However with positions being swapped in and out, the portfolio should stay equally divided most of the time.

Buy & Sell: both my portfolios use the same buy and sell strategy to manage positions.

Brokerage Account: I suggest, you open a separate account just for speculation. You can track easily your trading skills and monitor your portfolio's performance.

Questions & Answers

How to buy equity positions?  I like to buy equity positions in 2 increments.

When to buy inverse ( "short") ETF? I buy the inverse ETF after it has crossed the moving average. For example, the market is in a down trend and I want to protect some or all of my long positions. Again don't use it to hit a home run - use inverse ETFs responsibly.

When to use leveraged ETFs? Buying a leveraged ETF at an inopportune time can set your portfolio back real quick. Timing is a key component for investing in general, and investing in leveraged ETFs in particular. I don't buy leveraged ETFs when the market goes through a consolidation or sideways, because it's difficult to spot a sustained market direction. Leveraged ETS gain twice as fast but also lose twice as fast.

 

 

 

  
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